Welcome
What are you trying to do?
Something I need to watch regularly in agencies, ngos and programme evaluation.
Your path
Create the study
One study holds the whole series.
Chart it before you judge it
A control chart separates ordinary variation from a real change. Most month-to-month movement is noise, and acting on it makes a process less stable rather than more.
Set up a monitor
A saved analysis with a cadence. It re-runs and reports what moved, without claiming the movement is significant - two consecutive estimates are not independent samples.
Read the series, not the last point
Twelve points tell you what one never can.
What people in your field ask
Define the indicator - sample defensibly - collect with consent - compare against baseline - report what the design can and cannot support.
- Did the programme change anything?independent t
- We could not randomise. Can we still claim an effect?propensity matching
- How many people are affected, and how sure are we?survey proportion
- Our survey used clusters. Does that change the numbers?survey mean
- Which communities are worst affected?getis ord
Watch for: Reporting a before-and-after difference as programme impact when anything else changed in the same period.
Create your first study The full guide for agencies, ngos and programme evaluation Start again